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Thursday, June 24, 2010

FBM KLCI - formation of piercing line reversal candlestick


Stocks on Bursa Malaysia ended firmer yesterday after opening lower, with the benchmark FBM KLCI recouping its earlier losses as large cap stocks staged a late rebound. The FBM KLCI rose 6.26 points or 0.5% to close at 1,329.70, after touching the intra-day low of 1,318.52, it had opened 1.39 points lower at 1,322.05. Gainers led losers by 360 to 275 while 271 counters were unchanged. Overall volume improved slightly to 684 million shares worth RM1.118 billion compared with Tuesday's 672 million shares worth RM1.099 billion.

Taking cue from the 149 points loss of the DJIA overnight, the FBM KLCI opened 1.39 points lower at 1,322.05 and traded lower to hit the intra-day low of 1,318.52 before rebounding gradually to recoup its earlier losses, and a last minute buying in selected heavyweights helped pushed the key index to close in the positive territory. The price action of the FBM KLCI formed a piecing line candlestick pattern, which indicates reversal of the down move, and counter-attack of the buyers. As it was mentioned in yesterday’s analysis, the FBM KLCI indeed received a good support at 1318 level, and rebounded off it. With the formation of the reversal candlestick, the key index may continue to move higher today to re-challenge the overhead resistance zone of 1330 to 1350.

MACD continued to move higher after taking a pause, indicating the continuation of the upward momentum. RSI(14) at 62.2 has hooked up and is back to the bullish zone. Stochastic at 89.8 has crossed below its slow Stochastic, reflecting the pull-back, nonetheless, it is still above the 80 level, hence, the pull-back is just a mild correction.

The immediate short term trend as indicated by the 5 and 10-day MA continued to be trending up, the medium term trend as indicated by the 30 and 60-day MA is sideways, while the long term trend remained up.

The FBM KLCI will continue to track the performance regional markets on the lack of local fresh leads. Overnight, the Dow closed +4.92 points or +0.05% higher at 10,298.44. Today, the FBM KLCI is likely to trade within a range of 1315 to 1341.

This week's expected range: 1279 – 1349
Today’s expected range: 1315 – 1341

Resistance: 1333, 1337, 1341
Support: 1315, 1322, 1326

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